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| Data Source: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ click on the image to enlarge |
Total Cases -- The above table shows the hardest-hit countries in the world with at least 15K cases (as of 8pm on 4/11). China has been left out. It makes no sense to include China's unreliable reporting; doing so would skew the real stats. The worldwide total has now exceeded a mammoth 1.78M cases. The US has been the epicenter of this pandemic outbreak (for a while now) with nearly 533K cases (30% of the worldwide total). Though some parts of Europe have yet to peak, Italy, Spain and France may have peaked as their new daily cases have lately been flat-lining or trending down. Spain remains at the top of the list with 163K, followed by Italy, France and Germany with 152K, 129K and 125K, respectively. Of late, the UK has been climbing the chart quite vigorously, overtaking Iran, one of the original victims.
Deaths -- Though the US death rate of 3.9% has been far below the worldwide average of 6.11% (well above the WHO's estimate of 3.4%), some of the hardest-hit European countries have been continuing in the 10-12% range. In fact, Italy's death rate of 12.8% is just heart-breaking. Fortunately, Germany, Switzerland and Portugal have been maintaining significantly lower death rates. Lately, the death rate of UK has exploded to 12.5%. Iran's rate has been holding steady at around 6%.
Recovery -- Given the asymmetric outbreak around the world, it's too premature to confirm the current worldwide recovery rate of 22.6%. Similarly, despite the explosive outbreak in the US, its recency makes it difficult to estimate a reasonable recovery rate. Switzerland and Germany have been registering better recovery rates than the other European countries, although Italy, France and Belgium are still struggling with lower rates. Turkey and Brazil have very low rates as well. The UK situation is still evolving so its rate is unpredictable at this point.
Active Cases -- Since the US situation is very fluid, its active cases account for 90%. The active percent in Europe remains high, generally in the 60% to 70% range. The countries with more recent surge, including the UK, Turkey, Portugal and Brazil, have active cases in the low to mid-90% range. Canada has a high 70% rate as well. Since Iran has more or less peaked, its active cases have trended down to 34%.
Serious/Critical Cases -- Some of the hardest-hit European countries are still faced with 4% to 6% serious/critical cases. Iran continues to deal with a high rate of 5.5%. Of course, the lack of uniform guidelines to define this category often makes the comparison somewhat apples-to-oranges. Case in point: Brazil's 1.4% and the UK's 2.0%.
Tests and Positive Cases -- The US is the only country to have administered over 2M (2.7M as of today) tests, followed by Germany with 1.3M and Italy nearly 1M. While the US has a high positive rate of 20%, Germany and Portugal are showing far lower positive rates. France, Spain, Belgium and the Netherlands have been recording very high positive rates. The reason Canada has a low rate of 5.8% is that its tests might include a part of the asymptomatic population as well.
Due to the paucity of test kits worldwide, most countries are zeroing in on the symptomatic population only.
Data Source: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
Stay safe!
-Sid Som
homequant@gmail.com
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