Coronavirus Stats – the US Case – 04/15/2020 Update

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Total Cases -- While the US outbreak started in Seattle, WA, New York City has been the epicenter for the last three weeks, accounting for 33.4% of the total cases. New Jersey was somewhat late to the saga but has gained significant momentum in the last two weeks, thus moving up the ladder to the 2nd position with 11.0% of the total cases. Washington, the original front-runner, has now fallen to the 13th position, even below Georgia and Connecticut. California, on the other hand, has dropped from 2nd to the 5th position, with 4.2% of the total cases. Massachusetts, Michigan and Pennsylvania have steadily trended up, now accounting for 4.7%, 4.4% and 4.2%, respectively. Given the growth in new cases lately, Maryland is expected to overtake Washington tomorrow. 

Total Deaths -- New York now accounts for 41% of total deaths in the US, despite owning 33% of the cases, proving how deadly the outbreak has been in NY, while New Jersey's death rate has been proportional to its share of total cases. Unfortunately, Michigan and Louisiana have been registering a higher death rate than their share of total cases. Massachusetts, California and Pennsylvania have been registering lower death rates. Despite the initial jolt of fatalities, Washington's imbalance has waned. Lately, the death rates of Texas and Maryland have outpaced their share of total cases. 

Active Cases -- Though the outbreak has been peaking in Europe, it is too premature to talk about a real peak in the US. Therefore, the total cases and active cases are still moving in tandem. Collectively, these 14 states account for 83% of the total cases, while they own 84% of the active ones. Case in point: New York accounts for 33% of the total cases and owns 32% of all active cases. Even Washington and California -- where the US outbreak started -- total and active cases remain in lockstep. 

Total Tests -- Since NYC is still the epicenter of the outbreak, its share of tests is the largest in the country, as the tests are administered strictly on a symptomatic basis to effectively manage the ongoing paucity of the available testing resources. Unfortunately, testing is seriously lagging in Michigan, Georgia, Connecticut and Maryland, registering under 100K/each as of today (4/15). Given the demography of Florida, the Governor of Florida has been very proactive in negotiating and administering the tests.  

Data Source: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

Stay safe!

-Sid Som
homequant@gmail.com