Wednesday, September 30, 2020

Coronavirus Pandemic – France, Spain, and the UK Face Massive Resurgence

France, Spain, and the UK -- the hard-hit countries in Europe initially -- are facing a massive resurgence since early August. Unfortunately, the other hard-hit countries like Belgium, Germany, Italy, and the Netherlands are not too far behind.


Source: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
Click on the image to enlarge

France -- As the above graph shows, while the daily cases averaged around 5K during the initial outbreak in the last March-April, it has been averaging 10K lately. Today's (9/30) cases amounted to 12,845. The 7-day moving average confirms the massive resurgence.



Source: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
Click on the image to enlarge

Spain -- During the initial outbreak in March-April, Spain's daily cases used to average around 7K. Lately, the same average has been hovering around 10K. For example, Spain reported 11,016 cases today. The 7-day moving average confirms rapid resurgence.


Source: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
Click on the image to enlarge

The United Kingdom -- At the peak during the initial outbreak, the UK's daily cases used to be around 5K. Lately, it has been averaging nearly 7K. The 7-day moving average shows the current resurgence as being the beginning stage. Today, it has hit 7,108 cases. 


(Click on the image to enlarge)

The silver lining has been that the death toll has remained extraordinarily low during this resurgence, due primarily to proven medications (like Gilead's Remdesivir) and the ventilators' better availability. Though the UK's death rate remains elevated (residual impact from the initial jolt), its positivity rate has been low. Spain and the UK have been recording meaningful testing credentials.
  
The timing of the resurgence concerns considering that the winter is around the corner, and the flu season is in the offing. Hopefully, the vaccines are around the corner too.

Stay safe!

Data Sources: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

-Sid Som
homequant@gmail.com

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