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Total Cases -- The worldwide total has exceeded 530K (as of the writing at 8pm ET). While the US has eclipsed China, it is too early to compare the US stats with China's or even Italy and Spain's, the two hardest-hit European countries thus far. Sadly, Italy is expected to surpass the Chinese total by tomorrow and Spain, at this current rate, in about a week or so. While China's incremental cases have been flat-lining in March, Italy and Spain's have been moving up exponentially since March 5 and March 12, respectively.
Deaths -- China's death rate (4.04%) has remained in alignment with the worldwide average of 4.53%. About a month ago, WHO announced a revised death rate of 3.40%, which is expected to be further revised up shortly to reflect the reality on the ground. Italy's death rate of 10.19% is simply heart-breaking. Spain's rate has been on the upswing as well.
Recovery -- Considering a global pandemic with an asymmetric outbreak, it's too early to talk about a stable worldwide average - even continental averages - recovery rate. While the current worldwide average is 23.34%, China's 91% rate is just awe-inspiring. On the other hand, Italy and Spain have been registering very low rates of 13% and 12%, respectively.
Active Cases -- Out of the 381K active cases globally, China's share has fallen to a mere 4K (or under 5% of their total cases), some of which are claimed to be of imported origin. Italy and Spain are confronted with roughly 80% active cases. Given this high rate, they need military help from other countries. Russia has already sent a team of doctors and medical supplies to Italy. India, Russia and China need to offer military help to both countries immediately!
Data Source: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
-Sid Som
homequant@gmail.com
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