Coronavirus Stats – the Global Case – 04/08/2020 Update

Data Source: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
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Total Cases -- The above table shows the hardest-hit countries in the world with at least 12K cases (as of 8pm on 4/8). China has been left out. It makes no sense to include China's unreliable reporting; doing so would skew the real stats.The worldwide total has now exceeded a mammoth 1.5M cases. The US has been the epicenter of this pandemic outbreak (for a while now) with nearly 427K cases (28% of the worldwide total). Though Europe has yet to peak, Italy may have peaked as its new daily cases have lately been trending down. Spain remains at the top of the list with 148K, followed by Germany and France with 113K each. Of late, the UK has been climbing the chart quite vigorously.  

Deaths -- Though the US death rate of 3.4% has been far below the worldwide average of 5.85% (well above the WHO's estimate of 3.4%), some of the hardest-hit European countries have been registering in the 10-12% range. In fact, Italy's death rate of 12.7% is just heart-breaking. Fortunately, Germany, Switzerland, Portugal and Austria have been maintaining significantly lower death rates. Lately, the death rate of UK has exploded. Iran's rate has been holding steady at around 6%.  

Recovery -- Given the asymmetric outbreak around the world, it's too premature to confirm the current worldwide recovery rate of 21.8%. Similarly, despite the explosive outbreak in the US, its recency makes it difficult to estimate a reasonable recovery rate. Switzerland and Germany have been registering better recovery rates than the other European countries, although Italy, France and Belgium are still struggling with lower rates. The UK situation is still evolving so its rate is unpredictable at this point.  

Active Cases -- Since the US situation is very fluid, its active cases account for 91%. The active percent in Europe remains high, in the 60%-to-70% range. The countries with more recent surge, including the UK, Turkey, Portugal, Brazil, and the Netherlands have active cases in the low to mid-90% range. Canada has a high rate in the mid-70 as well. Since Iran has more or less peaked, its rate starts to trend under 50%.  

Serious/Critical Cases -- The hardest-hit European countries are still faced with 5% to 7% serious/critical cases. Iran continues to deal with a high rate of 6.2%. Of course, the lack of uniform guidelines to define this category often makes the comparison somewhat apples-to-oranges.   

Tests and Positive Cases -- While the US and Germany are the only two countries to have administered over 1M tests, Germany is showing a far lower positive rate than the US. France, Spain, Belgium and the Netherlands have been recording very high positive rates. The reason Canada has a low rate of 5.5%, its tests might include a part of the asymptomatic population as well. Due to the paucity of test kits worldwide, most countries are zeroing in on the symptomatic population only.  

Data Source: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ 


Stay safe!

-Sid Som
homequant@gmail.com