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| (Click on the image to enlarge) |
At the outset of the onslaught, when the White House Task Force projected a high death toll of 65K, the people worldwide woke up in fear and awe. Fast forward nine months: Yesterday, the widely-followed Johns Hopkins' Coronavirus Resource site flashed that the pandemic-related confirmed death toll in the US had crossed 300K.
Of course, we have much to cheer on today as a couple of vaccines are ready (or being readied) for mass distribution, starting with the population's high-risk segments.
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| Source: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ |
Unfortunately, the actual death toll eclipsed the dire predictions in no time, hitting 100K on May 22, i.e., within three months from the first fatality, forcing the public health researchers to revert to the drawing board to tweak their vastly-flawed models that under-predicted, to say the least. New York and New Jersey collectively contributed roughly 43% of the overall death toll.
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| Source: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ |
The rate of growth in the death toll slightly eased while reaching 200K on September 15, thanks to the newly-approved treatment drugs like Gilead's Remdesivir and Regeneron's Regn-Cov2, replacing the malaria drug Hydrochloroqueen that was initially used by many hospitals to treat Covid patients. During this phase, while the Northeast had eased, the Sunbelt caught on with a fury.
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| Source: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ |
The above graphs demonstrate how the death rate lately has been accelerating, with a backward-bending tilt. Like the way we reached the first 100K deaths in just three months, we achieved the same distinction during the recent phase as we reached the 300K mark, despite all of the advancements in treatments and logistics.
Now that the vaccines are here, hopefully the next milestone will be unremarkable.
Stay safe!
Data Sources:
-Sid Som
homequant@gmail.com
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