While Florida's outbreak peaked in early April and completely tapered in late April, it has resurged in May. As of 5/25, the number of confirmed cases stood at 51,746 and the death toll at 2,252. Over 55% of the cases and deaths occurred in three southeastern counties in the state: Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach.
Highlights...
1. The top graph of the daily cases shows how the initial peak and taper in early and late April were negated by multiple surges leading to a resurgence in May. The 5-day moving average trendline through the new surges is clearly upward sloping, confirming the on-going resurgence. This resurgence, by no means, indicates the onset of a second wave. It simply means a new peak and taper are in the offing.
2. The bottom graph of the daily deaths is somewhat different. It does not show an initial peak and taper; instead, it shows a multi-modal landscape with multiple peaks sideways followed by quick drop-offs. The 5-day moving average trendline is, therefore, flat-lining rather than upward sloping.
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| (Click on the image to enlarge) |
3. Miami-Dade County is the epicenter of Florida's outbreak. The above data table shows that Miami-Dade County alone owns 33% of all cases and 28% of all deaths in the state. Due to the on-going surges, the active caseload still remains at a whopping 96%. To add more misery, Miami has the highest positivity rate in the state.
4. The outbreak in Miami has spilled over to its northern neighbors: Broward County and Palm Beach County. These two counties account for another 24% of all cases and 27% of all statewide deaths. The on-going resurgence has impacted their active cases as in Miami. Though their positivity rates are above the state (5.7%) and national (5.9%) averages, they are still below that of Miami.
5. Hillsborough (Tampa), Orange (Orlando), Lee (Ft. Myers), Duval (Jacksonville), Collier (Naples) and Pinellas (St. Petersburg/Clearwater) counties are also quite hard hit. Fortunately, they all have much lower death rates, though Collier has a high positivity rate.
Stay safe!
Data Sources:
-Sid Som
homequant@gmail.com
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