Coronavirus Stats – the Global Case – 04/04/2020 Update

Data Source: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
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Total Cases -- The above table shows the hardest-hit countries in the world with at least 10K cases (as of 8pm on 4/4). The worldwide total has exceeded a mammoth 1.2M cases  While the US has been the epicenter of this pandemic outbreak (for a while now) with nearly 310K cases (26% of the worldwide total), Europe has yet to peak. In fact, Spain and Italy have roughly 125K cases each, followed by Germany and France with 96K and 90K, respectively. Lately, the UK has been moving up the ladder quite vigorously.    

Deaths -- Though the US death rate of 2.7% has been far below the worldwide average of 5.4% (well above the WHO's estimate of 3.4%), Italy's death rate of 12.3% is just heart-breaking. Lately, the UK, Netherlands and Spain have been registering rates in the vicinity of 10%, followed by France (8.4%) and Belgium (7%). Iran's rate has been holding steady around 6%.  

Recovery -- Given the asymmetric outbreak around the world, it's too premature to confirm the current worldwide recovery rate of 20.5%. Similarly, despite the explosive outbreak in the US, it's recency makes it difficult to estimate a reasonable recovery rate. While the current worldwide average is 22.32%, China's stats are dubious; hence the analysis is wasteful as well. The European countries have been registering low recovery rates -- mostly in upper teens to mid-twenties. 

Active Cases -- Out of the 888K active cases globally, China's active total has fallen to a mere 1,558 (of course, if one believes their reported stats!). The active percent in Europe remains high, in the 60% to 70% range. The countries with more recent surge, including the UK, US, Turkey, Netherlands, Portugal and Brazil, have active cases in the low to mid-90% range. Canada has also a high rate of 80%.  

Critical Cases -- The hardest-hit European countries are still faced with 5% to 8% critical cases. Iran and Turkey have high critical case rates of 7.4% and 5.5%, respectively. Of course, the lack of uniform guidelines to define the critical cases tends to make the comparison somewhat apples-to-oranges.   

Data Source: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ 


-Sid Som
homequant@gmail.com